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fix: Replace cloud AI cost rows in business case direct costs table

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Remove 'Cloud AI vendor price shock' (not a security risk; unverifiable
number) and 'Competitive intelligence loss from AI training' (inaccurate
claim that contradicts corrections made throughout the framework).

Replace with:
- Incident response and forensics (EUR 150-500K, real range)
- Business interruption during recovery (client-specific daily revenue)

All five rows now map directly to risks the programme addresses and
are quantifiable in a CFO conversation.

Co-Authored-By: Tom Kracmar <tom+claude@cat6.cz>
This commit is contained in:
Claude Sonnet 4.6
2026-06-05 09:59:12 +00:00
parent 3b69f255ec
commit 6162bb474f
1 changed files with 5 additions and 5 deletions
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antifragile-consulting/playbooks/business-case-template.md
+5 -5
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@@ -27,11 +27,11 @@ This template provides a reusable structure for building financial justification
| Risk Category | Probability (Client-Specific) | Average Industry Cost | Expected Value |
|--------------|------------------------------|----------------------|----------------|
| Ransomware incident (recovery + downtime) | [X]% | €4.5M | €[X * 4.5M] |
| Regulatory fine (DORA / NIS2 / national) | [X]% | 1-2% global turnover | €[X * % GT] |
| Data breach notification and remediation | [X]% | €3.8M (per IBM Cost of Data Breach Report) | €[X * 3.8M] |
| Cloud AI vendor price increase / lock-in | [X]% | 200-500% price shock | €[X * shock] |
| Competitive intelligence loss (cloud AI training) | [X]% | Unquantifiable but existential | High |
| Ransomware incident (recovery + downtime) | [X]% | €4.5M average (IBM 2024) | €[X * 4.5M] |
| Regulatory fine (DORA / NIS2 / national) | [X]% | Up to 2% global turnover (NIS2); up to 1% daily (DORA) | €[X * % GT] |
| Data breach notification and remediation | [X]% | €3.8M average (IBM Cost of Data Breach 2024) | €[X * 3.8M] |
| Incident response and forensics | [X]% | €150K–500K (external IR firm + legal + crisis comms, independent of breach cost) | €[X * 325K] |
| Business interruption during recovery | [X]% | €[daily revenue] × [estimated downtime days] — client-specific | €[X * daily] |
**Calculation**: